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Red55
732710.6
47113.9
448139.7
Blue59
473827.6
50126.7
732311.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5742020801001205559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.70.4
36.036.3
Auto16.5
Teleop20.8
End2.5
red by 12.1
27.62.1
25.427.5
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End3.1
Second
7327
#38
10.60.6
9.610.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 1.1
7323
#22
11.62.0
10.912.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End1.6
Third
4711
#36
3.90.6
4.14.6
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.9
blue by 2.9
5012
#29
6.72.0
3.75.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed