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Red23
321614.1
94218.3
85214.9
Blue61
392510.6
11525.5
85338.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27520204060801002361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3216
#45
14.10.5
15.014.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End1.0
blue by 11.4
115
#3
25.50.9
24.023.1
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Second
9421
#23
8.30.5
7.57.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 2.3
3925
#10
10.60.9
11.010.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Third
8521
#39
4.90.5
5.34.8
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 3.4
8533
#34
8.20.9
9.28.3
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned