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Red46
876812.1
581724.3
47113.9
Blue33
528511.1
68856.9
85338.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412801020506070804633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.1
19.019.1
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End2.9
red by 13.2
5285
#43
11.10.1
10.710.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
Second
8768
#16
12.10.1
11.711.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End2.0
red by 3.9
8533
#34
8.20.1
8.38.4
Auto2.0
Teleop5.9
End0.3
Third
4711
#36
3.90.1
4.64.7
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.9
blue by 3.0
6885
#48
6.90.1
7.98.0
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsMissed