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Red41
401911.8
6916.5
58920.0
Blue27
50126.7
48177.4
91723.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3417010304050604127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
589
#24
20.00.9
12.513.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.7
red by 12.6
4817
#33
7.40.1
8.18.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Second
4019
#27
11.80.8
11.112.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.8
End2.2
red by 5.0
5012
#29
6.70.1
5.75.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
Third
691
#42
6.50.9
4.95.8
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End1.1
red by 2.7
9172
#47
3.90.1
3.93.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed