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Red53
732311.6
800514.0
397015.0
Blue53
91723.9
581724.3
392510.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47362060801005353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#12
15.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End1.1
blue by 9.3
24.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Second
8005
#18
14.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End1.3
red by 3.4
3925
#10
10.6
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Third
7323
#22
11.6
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End1.6
red by 7.8
9172
#47
3.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed