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Red50
113816.6
67647.0
815.8
Blue14
47113.9
85214.9
33287.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4017060805014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1138
#30
16.61.5
13.114.5
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End0.8
red by 9.5
3328
#28
7.10.6
7.77.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Second
8
#14
15.81.5
14.616.1
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End1.2
red by 11.0
8521
#39
4.90.8
5.74.9
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.2
Third
6764
#26
7.01.1
5.97.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.2
End0.7
red by 3.1
4711
#36
3.90.8
4.73.9
Auto1.5
Teleop0.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsMissed