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Red59
908429.6
94218.3
50126.7
Blue37
3999.2
583510.5
38818.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492404060801005937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.1
28.829.9
Auto11.8
Teleop14.2
End3.6
red by 19.2
5835
#41
10.51.1
9.410.5
Auto7.3
Teleop2.2
End1.0
Second
9421
#23
8.31.1
7.18.3
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End2.1
blue by 0.9
399
#46
9.21.1
7.68.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Third
5012
#29
6.71.1
5.66.7
Auto2.0
Teleop3.5
End1.3
blue by 1.9
3881
#32
8.61.1
7.58.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.0
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed