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Red143
427614.0
448139.7
441439.6
Blue108
58920.0
699520.3
581724.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102530204080120140160143108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.71.3
37.538.8
Auto16.5
Teleop20.8
End2.5
red by 15.4
24.31.1
20.421.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Second
39.61.3
37.438.6
Auto15.5
Teleop18.9
End5.2
red by 19.3
6995
#21
20.30.9
17.017.9
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.5
Third
4276
#15
14.01.7
11.413.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 6.0
589
#24
20.01.0
16.417.4
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.7