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Red68
138823.6
69621.7
113816.6
Blue72
3999.2
68728.1
374919.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions656102040801001201401606872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#11
23.60.3
22.322.6
Auto7.3
Teleop15.8
End0.5
blue by 4.5
687
#9
28.10.0
27.627.7
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End1.2
Second
696
#17
21.70.2
20.620.8
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End0.5
red by 2.1
19.60.0
19.119.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Third
1138
#30
16.60.3
15.315.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End0.8
red by 7.4
399
#46
9.20.0
8.78.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End2.6