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Red156
204640.0
680041.2
167834.2
Blue158
632849.7
67025.3
291052.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12614050100150200156158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#34
41.20.9
41.242.1
Auto7.3
Teleop30.9
End3.0
blue by 11.0
52.20.7
51.251.9
Auto12.6
Teleop37.6
End1.9
Second
40.00.9
40.141.0
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
blue by 9.7
49.70.7
48.749.4
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End6.1
Third
1678
#20
34.20.9
34.335.2
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2
red by 8.9
670
#41
25.30.7
24.825.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.8
End0.3