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Red125
204640.0
680041.2
167834.2
Blue124
632849.7
67025.3
291052.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12914250100200125124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#34
41.20.2
42.142.3
Auto7.3
Teleop30.9
End3.0
blue by 11.0
52.20.2
51.951.7
Auto12.6
Teleop37.6
End1.9
Second
40.00.2
41.041.1
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
blue by 9.7
49.70.2
49.449.3
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End6.1
Third
1678
#20
34.20.2
35.235.3
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2
red by 8.9
670
#41
25.30.2
25.525.3
Auto4.3
Teleop20.8
End0.3