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Red116
449929.9
204640.0
541921.1
Blue143
366334.5
25440.8
347836.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9913850150200116143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.5
42.142.7
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
blue by 0.7
254
#13
40.81.2
41.342.5
Auto11.6
Teleop24.0
End5.2
Second
4499
#12
29.90.5
32.332.8
Auto13.9
Teleop12.9
End3.0
blue by 6.4
3478
#15
36.31.2
38.739.8
Auto10.0
Teleop22.9
End3.3
Third
5419
#22
21.10.5
19.620.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End5.3
blue by 13.4
34.51.2
40.541.7
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
89%Ensemble oddsEarned93%Ensemble oddsEarned