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Red121
632849.7
715721.6
115629.5
Blue53
325618.5
69425.9
661925.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1368305010015020012153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.3
46.446.6
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End6.1
red by 23.8
694
#38
25.91.8
29.727.9
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
Second
1156
#28
29.50.3
40.240.5
Auto11.0
Teleop17.0
End1.4
red by 3.8
6619
#32
25.71.8
25.323.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.2
Third
7157
#35
21.60.3
30.630.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End0.4
red by 3.1
3256
#43
18.51.8
25.423.5
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
85%Ensemble oddsEarned42%Ensemble oddsMissed