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Red120
97326.1
680041.2
804823.2
Blue116
169045.1
58141.9
581722.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96139050150200120116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#34
41.21.4
42.644.0
Auto7.3
Teleop30.9
End3.0
blue by 3.9
45.10.3
50.249.9
Auto13.5
Teleop27.4
End4.2
Second
973
#26
26.11.4
26.427.8
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End1.3
blue by 15.8
581
#3
41.90.3
42.241.9
Auto11.9
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Third
8048
#21
23.21.4
23.124.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End1.8
red by 0.8
5817
#36
22.40.3
28.227.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed78%Ensemble oddsEarned