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Red83
427021.8
154027.8
331031.0
Blue146
25440.8
449929.9
60441.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10013205015020083146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#24
31.00.9
38.137.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End4.5
blue by 10.2
604
#5
41.22.0
40.542.5
Auto14.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
Second
1540
#16
27.80.9
28.727.8
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End4.1
blue by 13.0
254
#13Sur
40.82.0
42.544.5
Auto11.6
Teleop24.0
End5.2
Third
4270
#31Sur
21.80.9
27.326.4
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End4.5
blue by 8.0
4499
#12
29.92.0
32.834.8
Auto13.9
Teleop12.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
85%Ensemble oddsEarned97%Ensemble oddsEarned