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Red108
680041.2
228818.8
581722.4
Blue119
69425.9
84128.6
908426.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105105104106108110112116108119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6800
#34
41.20.9
44.044.8
Auto7.3
Teleop30.9
End3.0
red by 12.6
841
#37
28.61.3
32.333.6
Auto6.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
Second
5817
#36
22.40.9
27.928.7
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.2
blue by 3.9
9084
#30
26.31.3
34.135.4
Auto10.9
Teleop10.3
End5.0
Third
2288
#42
18.80.9
23.123.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 7.1
694
#38
25.91.3
27.929.2
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed66%Ensemble oddsEarned