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Red91
944229.9
644334.0
366334.5
Blue56
581722.4
347628.8
715721.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361020501502002509156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.52.0
42.640.5
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
red by 5.7
3476
#17
28.82.7
32.029.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.5
Second
6443
#19
34.02.0
40.638.6
Auto11.4
Teleop20.3
End2.3
red by 11.6
5817
#36
22.42.7
30.928.2
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Third
29.92.0
36.234.2
Auto12.0
Teleop16.4
End1.5
red by 8.3
7157
#35
21.62.7
33.330.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsMissed