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Red89
60441.2
84128.6
949636.2
Blue131
803333.8
603635.3
167834.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12713205010015020025089131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#5
41.22.1
42.940.8
Auto14.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
red by 5.9
6036
#11
35.30.8
35.336.2
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End1.0
Second
9496
#23
36.22.1
37.335.2
Auto10.1
Teleop24.9
End1.2
red by 2.0
1678
#20
34.20.8
44.545.4
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Third
841
#37
28.62.1
35.633.5
Auto6.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
blue by 5.2
33.80.8
38.839.6
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
100%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsEarned30%Ensemble oddsEarned