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Red112
603635.3
204640.0
944229.9
Blue82
644334.0
97326.1
67025.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291015015020011282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.2
42.742.4
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
red by 6.1
6443
#19
34.01.2
38.337.1
Auto11.4
Teleop20.3
End2.3
Second
6036
#11
35.30.2
35.235.0
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End1.0
red by 9.2
973
#26
26.11.2
28.627.4
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End1.3
Third
29.90.2
35.635.3
Auto12.0
Teleop16.4
End1.5
red by 4.6
670
#41
25.31.2
28.026.8
Auto4.3
Teleop20.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
58%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed