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Red107
949636.2
449929.9
291052.2
Blue104
69425.9
804823.2
427021.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14381050100200107104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.21.1
49.348.2
Auto12.6
Teleop37.6
End1.9
red by 26.2
694
#38
25.91.6
29.230.8
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
Second
9496
#23
36.21.1
37.736.6
Auto10.1
Teleop24.9
End1.2
red by 13.0
8048
#21
23.21.6
24.225.9
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End1.8
Third
4499
#12
29.91.1
34.833.7
Auto13.9
Teleop12.9
End3.0
red by 8.0
4270
#31
21.81.6
26.428.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsMissed60%Ensemble oddsMissed