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Red68
594039.9
114831.3
366334.5
Blue50
97122.7
603635.3
804823.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125990501502002506850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#10
39.93.8
38.134.3
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End5.6
red by 4.6
6036
#11
35.32.8
35.032.2
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End1.0
Second
34.53.8
37.733.9
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
red by 11.3
8048
#21
23.22.8
25.923.0
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End1.8
Third
1148
#14
31.33.8
33.830.0
Auto8.8
Teleop18.6
End3.9
red by 8.6
971
#27
22.72.8
31.428.6
Auto10.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
84%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed