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Red103
347836.3
67025.3
281137.6
Blue140
25440.8
35931.0
169045.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116147050100200250103140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#18
37.60.4
43.543.1
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End5.9
blue by 7.5
45.10.6
49.850.4
Auto13.5
Teleop27.4
End4.2
Second
3478
#15
36.30.4
38.337.9
Auto10.0
Teleop22.9
End3.3
blue by 4.5
254
#13
40.80.6
43.043.6
Auto11.6
Teleop24.0
End5.2
Third
670
#41
25.30.4
26.826.4
Auto4.3
Teleop20.8
End0.3
blue by 5.7
359
#29
31.00.6
36.236.8
Auto9.1
Teleop16.6
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
69%Ensemble oddsMissed96%Ensemble oddsEarned