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Red109
661925.7
908426.3
167834.2
Blue101
325618.5
207327.5
154027.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11075050100150109101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#20
34.20.2
38.738.9
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2
red by 6.5
1540
#16
27.81.9
27.529.4
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End4.1
Second
9084
#30
26.30.2
33.233.4
Auto10.9
Teleop10.3
End5.0
blue by 1.2
2073
#25
27.51.9
25.127.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End3.7
Third
6619
#32
25.70.2
23.924.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.2
red by 7.1
3256
#43
18.51.9
19.521.5
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
76%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsEarned