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Red76
69425.9
603635.3
347628.8
Blue112
541921.1
364715.7
114831.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1066305015020076112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#11
35.31.0
32.231.2
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End1.0
red by 4.0
1148
#14
31.32.6
28.531.1
Auto8.8
Teleop18.6
End3.9
Second
3476
#17
28.81.0
27.626.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.5
red by 7.7
5419
#22
21.12.6
18.020.6
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End5.3
Third
694
#38
25.91.0
30.829.8
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
red by 10.2
3647
#33
15.72.6
15.518.1
Auto2.6
Teleop12.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsEarned