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Red45
427021.8
35931.0
115629.5
Blue120
169045.1
204640.0
11427.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10514505020045120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#29
31.03.7
36.833.1
Auto9.1
Teleop16.6
End5.3
blue by 14.1
45.12.4
50.448.0
Auto13.5
Teleop27.4
End4.2
Second
1156
#28
29.53.7
36.632.9
Auto11.0
Teleop17.0
End1.4
blue by 10.6
40.02.4
41.839.4
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
Third
4270
#31
21.83.7
26.622.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End4.5
blue by 5.2
114
#40
27.02.4
34.331.8
Auto10.2
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
77%Ensemble oddsMissed87%Ensemble oddsMissed