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Red74
804823.2
167834.2
541921.1
Blue105
803333.8
944229.9
154027.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8811605010015074105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#20
34.20.6
38.938.4
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2
red by 0.4
33.80.1
37.537.6
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End0.9
Second
8048
#21
23.20.6
23.022.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End1.8
blue by 6.7
29.90.1
34.534.6
Auto12.0
Teleop16.4
End1.5
Third
5419
#22
21.10.6
20.620.0
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End5.3
blue by 6.7
1540
#16
27.80.1
29.429.5
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsEarned