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Red104
25440.8
325618.5
228818.8
Blue119
581722.4
60441.2
594039.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94113050150200250104119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#13
40.81.0
43.644.6
Auto11.6
Teleop24.0
End5.2
blue by 0.4
604
#5
41.21.2
41.142.3
Auto14.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
Second
2288
#42
18.81.0
22.023.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 21.1
5940
#10
39.91.2
33.734.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End5.6
Third
3256
#43
18.51.0
21.522.5
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
blue by 3.9
5817
#36
22.41.2
24.825.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
71%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned