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Red88
97122.7
632849.7
97326.1
Blue91
644334.0
84128.6
364715.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11594501508891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.9
48.047.1
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End6.1
red by 15.7
6443
#19
34.00.6
37.036.4
Auto11.4
Teleop20.3
End2.3
Second
973
#26
26.10.9
26.425.5
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End1.3
blue by 2.5
841
#37
28.60.6
32.231.7
Auto6.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
Third
971
#27
22.70.9
27.326.4
Auto10.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
red by 7.0
3647
#33
15.70.6
18.117.6
Auto2.6
Teleop12.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
91%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed