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Red57
581722.4
11427.0
325618.5
Blue131
603635.3
291052.2
114831.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8312805010015020057131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114
#40
27.01.5
31.830.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.1
End2.8
blue by 25.1
52.21.3
48.349.6
Auto12.6
Teleop37.6
End1.9
Second
5817
#36
22.41.5
25.924.4
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.2
blue by 12.9
6036
#11
35.31.3
31.432.8
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End1.0
Third
3256
#43
18.51.5
22.520.9
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
blue by 12.8
1148
#14
31.31.3
31.132.4
Auto8.8
Teleop18.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsEarned