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Red105
594039.9
541921.1
347628.8
Blue116
804823.2
115629.5
449929.9
38%Model gave it62%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899820406080120140105116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5940
#10
39.91.5
34.936.4
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End5.6
red by 10.0
4499
#12
29.91.9
32.634.4
Auto13.9
Teleop12.9
End3.0
Second
3476
#17
28.81.5
27.028.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.5
blue by 0.7
1156
#28
29.51.9
32.934.8
Auto11.0
Teleop17.0
End1.4
Third
5419
#22
21.11.5
20.021.5
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End5.3
blue by 2.1
8048
#21
23.21.9
22.524.3
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
73%Ensemble oddsEarned40%Ensemble oddsEarned