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Red98
331031.0
97122.7
169045.1
Blue95
154027.8
69425.9
281137.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123109501001509895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.9
48.046.1
Auto13.5
Teleop27.4
End4.2
red by 7.5
2811
#18
37.60.7
41.340.7
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End5.9
Second
3310
#24
31.01.9
35.333.4
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End4.5
red by 3.3
1540
#16
27.80.7
29.528.9
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End4.1
Third
971
#27
22.71.9
26.424.4
Auto10.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
blue by 3.2
694
#38
25.90.7
29.028.3
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
81%Ensemble oddsEarned91%Ensemble oddsEarned