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Red117
58141.9
97326.1
167834.2
Blue26
427021.8
228818.8
67025.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1197605010015020011726

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
41.91.0
38.639.6
Auto11.9
Teleop24.4
End5.6
red by 16.6
670
#41
25.33.2
28.225.0
Auto4.3
Teleop20.8
End0.3
Second
1678
#20
34.21.0
38.439.3
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2
red by 12.4
4270
#31
21.83.2
22.919.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Third
973
#26
26.11.0
25.526.4
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End1.3
red by 7.3
2288
#42
18.83.2
23.019.8
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
82%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed