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Red101
803333.8
60441.2
347836.3
Blue70
207327.5
944229.9
715721.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1359105015020010170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#5
41.21.1
42.341.2
Auto14.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
red by 11.3
29.91.8
34.632.7
Auto12.0
Teleop16.4
End1.5
Second
3478
#15
36.31.1
37.036.0
Auto10.0
Teleop22.9
End3.3
red by 8.8
2073
#25
27.51.8
28.826.9
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End3.7
Third
33.81.1
37.636.5
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End0.9
red by 12.2
7157
#35
21.61.8
24.222.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned