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Red54
154027.8
228818.8
35931.0
Blue82
114831.3
427021.8
347836.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123112501001502005482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#29
31.04.0
47.643.6
Auto9.1
Teleop16.6
End5.3
blue by 5.3
3478
#15
36.31.7
40.438.7
Auto10.0
Teleop22.9
End3.3
Second
1540
#16
27.84.0
33.929.9
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End4.1
blue by 3.5
1148
#14
31.31.7
33.431.8
Auto8.8
Teleop18.6
End3.9
Third
2288
#42
18.84.0
28.124.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 3.0
4270
#31
21.81.7
28.426.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsMissed67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsEarned88%Ensemble oddsMissed