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Red71
97326.1
115629.5
69425.9
Blue120
207327.5
25440.8
281137.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114125608010014016018071120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#28
29.52.5
42.740.2
Auto11.0
Teleop17.0
End1.4
blue by 11.3
254
#13
40.80.4
40.941.3
Auto11.6
Teleop24.0
End5.2
Second
973
#26
26.12.5
29.026.4
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End1.3
blue by 11.5
2811
#18
37.60.4
42.442.9
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End5.9
Third
694
#38
25.92.5
32.229.7
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
blue by 1.6
2073
#25
27.50.4
28.629.0
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsMissed96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
63%Ensemble oddsMissed90%Ensemble oddsEarned