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Red86
169045.1
541921.1
67025.3
Blue91
97122.7
60441.2
347628.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021040501508691

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.4
46.145.6
Auto13.5
Teleop27.4
End4.2
red by 3.9
604
#5
41.20.2
41.241.0
Auto14.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
Second
670
#41
25.30.4
25.024.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.8
End0.3
blue by 3.4
3476
#17
28.80.2
28.628.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.5
Third
5419
#22
21.10.4
21.521.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End5.3
blue by 1.7
971
#27
22.70.2
24.424.2
Auto10.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned66%Ensemble oddsEarned