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Red59
449929.9
803333.8
84128.6
Blue80
35931.0
325618.5
97326.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117840501001505980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.82.9
36.533.7
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End0.9
red by 2.8
359
#29
31.00.1
32.432.3
Auto9.1
Teleop16.6
End5.3
Second
4499
#12
29.92.9
34.431.6
Auto13.9
Teleop12.9
End3.0
red by 3.8
973
#26
26.10.1
26.426.3
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End1.3
Third
841
#37
28.62.9
30.928.0
Auto6.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
red by 10.1
3256
#43
18.50.1
20.920.8
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed59%Ensemble oddsMissed