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Red113
11427.0
944229.9
291052.2
Blue86
908426.3
331031.0
25440.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211229010011013014015011386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.0
49.649.6
Auto12.6
Teleop37.6
End1.9
red by 11.4
254
#13
40.82.1
43.941.8
Auto11.6
Teleop24.0
End5.2
Second
29.90.0
32.732.8
Auto12.0
Teleop16.4
End1.5
blue by 1.1
3310
#24
31.02.1
33.431.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End4.5
Third
114
#40
27.00.0
30.330.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.1
End2.8
red by 0.7
9084
#30
26.32.1
30.128.0
Auto10.9
Teleop10.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsMissed94%Ensemble oddsEarned