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Red138
204640.0
347836.3
519927.9
Blue127
69425.9
594039.9
58141.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10711720406080140160180138127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.02.7
36.939.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
blue by 1.9
581
#3
41.91.4
39.641.0
Auto11.9
Teleop24.4
End5.6
Second
3478
#15
36.32.7
36.038.7
Auto10.0
Teleop22.9
End3.3
blue by 3.6
5940
#10
39.91.4
36.437.8
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End5.6
Third
5199
#39
27.92.7
24.927.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End3.8
red by 2.0
694
#38
25.91.4
28.329.7
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
72%Ensemble oddsMissed83%Ensemble oddsEarned