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Red101
207327.5
661925.7
644334.0
Blue81
804823.2
228818.8
949636.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions978902040608012014016010181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#19
34.00.9
36.737.6
Auto11.4
Teleop20.3
End2.3
blue by 2.3
9496
#23
36.20.2
37.237.0
Auto10.1
Teleop24.9
End1.2
Second
2073
#25
27.50.9
26.927.9
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End3.7
red by 4.3
8048
#21
23.20.2
24.324.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End1.8
Third
6619
#32
25.70.9
23.524.5
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.2
red by 6.9
2288
#42
18.80.2
19.819.7
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed