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Red130
366334.5
427021.8
281137.6
Blue90
114831.3
715721.6
680041.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041069010011012013013090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#18
37.61.9
40.742.6
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End5.9
blue by 3.6
6800
#34
41.20.5
41.040.5
Auto7.3
Teleop30.9
End3.0
Second
34.51.9
33.935.8
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
red by 3.2
1148
#14
31.30.5
32.431.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.6
End3.9
Third
4270
#31
21.81.9
19.721.7
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End4.5
red by 0.2
7157
#35
21.60.5
22.321.8
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
93%Ensemble oddsEarned57%Ensemble oddsMissed