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Red62
67025.3
347628.8
804823.2
Blue132
60441.2
632849.7
228818.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7912305010015020062132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#17
28.81.0
28.427.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.5
blue by 20.9
49.71.6
45.947.4
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End6.1
Second
670
#41
25.31.0
24.523.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.8
End0.3
blue by 15.9
604
#5
41.21.6
41.042.6
Auto14.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
Third
8048
#21
23.21.0
24.223.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.1
End1.8
red by 4.4
2288
#42
18.81.6
19.721.2
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed91%Ensemble oddsEarned