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Red78
97122.7
25440.8
364715.7
Blue34
715721.6
325618.5
427021.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93680204060801001201401607834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#13
40.80.5
41.841.2
Auto11.6
Teleop24.0
End5.2
red by 18.9
4270
#31
21.82.0
21.719.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Second
971
#27
22.70.5
24.223.7
Auto10.1
Teleop10.1
End2.4
red by 1.1
7157
#35
21.62.0
21.819.8
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End0.4
Third
3647
#33
15.70.5
14.914.4
Auto2.6
Teleop12.0
End1.1
blue by 2.8
3256
#43
18.52.0
20.818.8
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed