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Red83
366334.5
69425.9
449929.9
Blue54
644334.0
167834.2
11427.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081170501502008354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.3
35.834.4
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End2.3
red by 0.3
1678
#20
34.23.5
36.933.3
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Second
4499
#12
29.91.3
32.731.3
Auto13.9
Teleop12.9
End3.0
blue by 4.1
6443
#19
34.03.5
37.634.1
Auto11.4
Teleop20.3
End2.3
Third
694
#38
25.91.3
29.728.3
Auto3.4
Teleop18.8
End3.7
blue by 1.1
114
#40
27.03.5
30.627.0
Auto10.2
Teleop14.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
80%Ensemble oddsMissed62%Ensemble oddsMissed