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Red137
25440.8
715721.6
58141.9
Blue109
603635.3
949636.2
154027.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115107406080100140160180137109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#3
41.91.8
42.043.8
Auto11.9
Teleop24.4
End5.6
red by 5.7
9496
#23
36.20.2
35.135.3
Auto10.1
Teleop24.9
End1.2
Second
254
#13
40.81.8
41.243.0
Auto11.6
Teleop24.0
End5.2
red by 5.5
6036
#11
35.30.2
34.234.3
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End1.0
Third
7157
#35
21.61.8
19.821.6
Auto5.9
Teleop15.3
End0.4
blue by 6.2
1540
#16
27.80.2
28.228.4
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
83%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsEarned