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Red129
169045.1
84128.6
291052.2
Blue104
661925.7
114831.3
204640.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143101050200129104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.20.3
49.649.9
Auto12.6
Teleop37.6
End1.9
red by 12.1
40.00.2
39.039.1
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
Second
45.10.3
46.747.0
Auto13.5
Teleop27.4
End4.2
red by 13.8
1148
#14
31.30.2
32.232.3
Auto8.8
Teleop18.6
End3.9
Third
841
#37
28.60.3
28.328.6
Auto6.8
Teleop19.9
End1.9
red by 2.9
6619
#32
25.70.2
25.525.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed