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Red100
803333.8
644334.0
25440.8
Blue112
207327.5
594039.9
427021.8
82%Model gave it18%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12991050100150200100112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#13
40.80.8
43.042.2
Auto11.6
Teleop24.0
End5.2
red by 0.9
5940
#10
39.90.9
39.140.0
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End5.6
Second
6443
#19
34.00.8
34.133.3
Auto11.4
Teleop20.3
End2.3
red by 6.4
2073
#25
27.50.9
26.627.5
Auto7.9
Teleop15.9
End3.7
Third
33.80.8
35.034.2
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End0.9
red by 12.0
4270
#31
21.80.9
20.921.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned74%Ensemble oddsEarned