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Red171
291052.2
67025.3
632849.7
Blue109
644334.0
603635.3
949636.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13711050100150200171109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.21.1
49.951.0
Auto12.6
Teleop37.6
End1.9
red by 15.9
9496
#23
36.20.0
35.335.3
Auto10.1
Teleop24.9
End1.2
Second
49.71.1
47.448.5
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End6.1
red by 14.4
6036
#11
35.30.0
34.334.4
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End1.0
Third
670
#41
25.31.1
23.324.3
Auto4.3
Teleop20.8
End0.3
blue by 8.6
6443
#19
34.00.0
33.333.3
Auto11.4
Teleop20.3
End2.3