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Red142
60441.2
331031.0
594039.9
Blue83
347836.3
803333.8
347628.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271085015020014283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#5
41.20.4
41.341.7
Auto14.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
red by 4.9
3478
#15
36.30.4
36.636.3
Auto10.0
Teleop22.9
End3.3
Second
5940
#10
39.90.4
40.040.4
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End5.6
red by 6.1
33.80.4
34.233.8
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End0.9
Third
3310
#24
31.00.4
31.131.5
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End4.5
red by 2.3
3476
#17
28.80.4
29.128.8
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.5