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Red97
154027.8
58141.9
169045.1
Blue117
167834.2
680041.2
204640.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331235010015020097117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.10.6
47.046.4
Auto13.5
Teleop27.4
End4.2
red by 3.9
6800
#34
41.20.0
40.340.3
Auto7.3
Teleop30.9
End3.0
Second
581
#3
41.90.6
43.843.2
Auto11.9
Teleop24.4
End5.6
red by 1.9
40.00.0
39.139.1
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
Third
1540
#16
27.80.6
28.427.8
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End4.1
blue by 6.5
1678
#20
34.20.0
33.333.3
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2